Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 0
COL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CRU
4 - 1
CLI
47%
24%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
4 - 2
CRU
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
POR
3 - 1
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 3
POR
19%
23%
59%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
CLI
2 - 0
POR
56%
21%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
POR
4 - 1
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |