Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 3
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
CRU
3 - 1
ARD
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
LIN
0 - 1
CRU
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1996 |
POR
2 - 1
GLE
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
POR
2 - 2
COL
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
GLE
2 - 3
POR
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
ARD
2 - 3
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
POR
0 - 0
LIN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |