Crusaders vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
CLI
1 - 0
CRU
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
DON
0 - 2
CRU
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CRU
3 - 1
LAR
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LIS
1 - 1
CRU
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CRU
2 - 1
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
LOU
1 - 3
GLE
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
GLE
2 - 0
LOU
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LOU
1 - 1
NEW
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
COL
4 - 2
LOU
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
LOU
1 - 1
LIM
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |