Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 1
GLE
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 5
CRU
28%
23%
49%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
4 - 0
WAR
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
0 - 2
LIN
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 0
GLE
75%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |