Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CLI
0 - 1
CRU
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 1
KNO
86%
11%
4%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 0
DUN
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
CRU
44%
23%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
5 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIN
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
5 - 0
GLE
88%
10%
2%
|
71 | 32 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 0
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
5 - 1
DUN
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |