Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 2
CRU
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 3
CRU
24%
25%
52%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 2
CRU
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 2
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 1
CLI
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |