Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
COL
1 - 3
CRU
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CRU
5 - 0
CLI
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 5
CRU
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 4
LIN
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 1
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
LIN
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |