Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 0
CRU
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
4 - 1
LIS
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 4
LIN
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |