Crusaders vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
GLE
2 - 0
CRU
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
CRU
1 - 3
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
CRU
4 - 0
ARD
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
CLI
2 - 2
CRU
36%
29%
36%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
CRU
4 - 2
BAL
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
LIN
0 - 1
CLI
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
LIN
0 - 0
BAL
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
59%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
LIN
1 - 1
OMA
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
ARD
0 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |