Crusaders vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
5º
80
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
CRU
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
CRU
34%
25%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
CRU
12%
17%
71%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 1
GLE
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 2
LIN
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
LAR
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |