Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 4
CRU
14%
18%
68%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 1
CRU
12%
18%
70%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 3
CRU
12%
18%
70%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
CRU
23%
22%
56%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
5 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 1
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |