Crusaders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 7
CRU
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CRU
4 - 1
WAR
80%
13%
6%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 2
CRU
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CRU
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
INS
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
INS
0 - 2
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |