Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
5º
34
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
CLI
50%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
LOU
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
CRU
11%
21%
68%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
CRU
9 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
GLE
27%
23%
50%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 2
GLE
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |