Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 2
CRU
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
58%
22%
19%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
12%
21%
66%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 0
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 2
WAR
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |