Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 2
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WAR
1 - 1
CRU
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
0 - 3
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
CRU
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 0
CLI
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 1
ARD
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 1
WAR
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 2
GLE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 3
GLE
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |