Northern Ireland League Cup Last 16
Global 2-4
Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
25%
23%
52%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
3 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 2
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 2
GLE
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
INS
2 - 1
GLE
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |