NIFL Premiership Round 28

Crusaders vs Glenavon analysis

Crusaders Glenavon
72 ELO 73
-0.8% Tilt -0.9%
1603º General ELO ranking 1882º
10º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
51.3%
Crusaders
24.4%
Draw
24.3%
Glenavon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
Crusaders
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.3%
Win probability
Glenavon
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crusaders
-11%
-17%
Glenavon

ELO progression

Crusaders
Glenavon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 1995
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
50%
25%
25%
72 69 3 0
01 Apr. 1995
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 2
Crusaders
CRU
41%
26%
33%
72 64 8 0
25 Mar. 1995
CRU
Crusaders
4 - 1
Larne
LAR
70%
19%
11%
72 55 17 0
18 Mar. 1995
CRU
Crusaders
1 - 1
Omagh Town
OMA
54%
25%
22%
72 72 0 0
14 Mar. 1995
CRU
Crusaders
1 - 0
Bangor
BAN
67%
20%
13%
72 64 8 0

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 1995
GLE
Glenavon
4 - 2
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
75%
16%
9%
72 55 17 0
01 Apr. 1995
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 0
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
61%
22%
18%
72 70 2 0
25 Mar. 1995
OMA
Omagh Town
3 - 2
Glenavon
GLE
52%
24%
24%
72 72 0 0
18 Mar. 1995
GLE
Glenavon
4 - 0
Linfield
LIN
59%
23%
19%
72 72 0 0
04 Mar. 1995
GLE
Glenavon
5 - 1
Larne
LAR
73%
18%
10%
72 56 16 0