Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRU
25%
24%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 3
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 0
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 1
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 2
WAR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |