Crusaders vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 1
GLE
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DON
0 - 3
CRU
10%
19%
71%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CLI
4 - 0
CRU
44%
23%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |