Crusaders vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LOU
0 - 5
CRU
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LIS
4 - 1
CRU
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CRU
0 - 3
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LIM
0 - 1
CRU
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
DON
0 - 1
CLI
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
LIN
3 - 0
DON
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 3
DON
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CLI
2 - 0
DON
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
DON
1 - 0
GLE
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |