Crusaders vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
CLI
2 - 2
CRU
36%
29%
36%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
CRU
4 - 2
BAL
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
DTB
5 - 1
CRU
89%
7%
4%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
CRU
1 - 3
DTB
36%
22%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
ARD
2 - 2
OMA
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
CLI
1 - 0
ARD
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
ARD
0 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1997 |
LAU
6 - 0
ARD
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
ARD
0 - 3
AUX
4%
17%
79%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |