NK Croatia Zmijavci vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
12º
9º
37
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZMI
6 - 2
ORI
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 0
ZMI
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ZMI
0 - 0
HNS
15%
24%
61%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 0
ZMI
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ZMI
0 - 1
RUD
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NKD
4 - 0
HNK
41%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 1
NKR
33%
26%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 1
BIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 3
HNK
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
6 - 0
ZAG
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |