Croacia U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
POR
2 - 0
CRO
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 2
YUG
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
5 - 1
IRL
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 0
MLT
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
YUG
2 - 6
CRO
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
POR
2 - 0
CRO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
SVK
1 - 0
POR
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
POR
1 - 1
ROU
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
POR
2 - 1
HUN
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
ROU
2 - 3
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |