Croatia U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
4 - 0
HRV
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
HRV
0 - 1
GEO
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
HRV
3 - 2
HUN
69%
18%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
HRV
1 - 2
UKR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SVN
1 - 1
HRV
24%
23%
54%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 0
GEO
82%
14%
5%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
GEO
2 - 7
ESP
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 1
BLR
71%
18%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
UKR
0 - 3
ESP
17%
22%
60%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |