Croatia U17 vs Portugal U17s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
SWE
2 - 1
HRV
16%
21%
62%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
HRV
0 - 2
WLS
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CZE
2 - 2
HRV
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
HRV
2 - 0
LIE
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 5 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
HRV
4 - 1
GIB
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
PRT
1 - 0
WLS
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PRT
2 - 0
SWE
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PRT
1 - 1
ENG
28%
23%
49%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 5
PRT
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
PRT
7 - 0
ARM
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |