Criciúma vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CRB
0 - 0
CRI
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
CRI
2 - 1
LON
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
GOI
2 - 1
CRI
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 1
FFL
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 0
SAO
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
FFL
2 - 1
VIL
53%
27%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
BRA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 2
VIL
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
LON
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 1
VIL
35%
30%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |