Criciúma vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 2
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
CRI
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRI
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 0
CRZ
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRI
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SCI
0 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAO
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
BRA
76%
17%
8%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |