Criciúma vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRI
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 0
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CRI
7 - 2
GOI
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
COT
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 2
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 3
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |