Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 2-4
Criciúma vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
63.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 0
CRI
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 1
CRI
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 0
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLU
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 2
FLU
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
FLU
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 0
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |