Criciúma vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
CRI
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
VAS
3 - 2
CRI
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
CRI
2 - 1
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAL
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 0
GOI
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
GRE
51%
25%
23%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
COR
28%
29%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
SAO
50%
26%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
COR
0 - 1
ATM
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |