Crewe Alexandra vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
ROT
2 - 2
CRE
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
CRE
1 - 0
HUL
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
CRE
3 - 1
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
SWI
2 - 1
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
CRE
2 - 1
CUM
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
FUL
7 - 0
SWA
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
SWA
1 - 2
WYC
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
BHA
0 - 2
SWA
43%
27%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
WRE
1 - 0
SWA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
SWA
1 - 1
BOU
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |