FA Cup . 1/64
Global 4-2
Crewe Alexandra vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
CRE
24%
23%
54%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CRE
5 - 0
MOR
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
NOR
4 - 1
CRE
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
STA
0 - 2
CRE
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
EBB
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 2
WRE
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
CRE
24%
23%
54%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
3 - 2
GUL
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
HAL
1 - 1
EAS
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |