Crewe Alexandra vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CRY
2 - 2
CRE
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CRE
2 - 0
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 2
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
PNE
1 - 0
CRE
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CRE
4 - 1
COV
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
SHE
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 5
REA
32%
28%
39%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 2
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 0
QPR
52%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
PLY
0 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |