Creteil vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LUS
1 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 3
LUS
65%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 0
LUS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LUS
1 - 0
ASN
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
3 - 2
LUS
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 3
ASS
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 1
FCG
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
VAL
2 - 2
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |