Creteil vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 3
LUS
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
LUS
2 - 0
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUS
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUS
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
LUS
0 - 0
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
PLA
3 - 1
ORL
32%
28%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
PLA
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 0
CAE
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
STA
2 - 0
PLA
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 1
VCH
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |