Crema vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MOD
4 - 2
CRE
72%
19%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 2
PAV
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 3
CRE
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
CLA
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 1
CRE
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
CLA
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 2
ASD
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
FAN
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
ASD
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
AXY
41%
23%
37%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |