NCAA Division I Big East Round 1

Creighton vs Georgetown analysis

Creighton Georgetown
24 ELO 44
2.1% Tilt -1.2%
46786º General ELO ranking 45731º
743º Country ELO ranking 702º
ELO win probability
14.9%
Creighton
18.5%
Draw
66.6%
Georgetown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
Creighton
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.6%
Win probability
Georgetown
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Creighton
+7%
+1%
Georgetown

ELO progression

Creighton
Georgetown
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Creighton
Creighton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2021
GTH
Georgetown
1 - 0
Creighton
CTU
84%
11%
6%
25 44 19 0
10 Apr. 2021
BUB
Butler
3 - 2
Creighton
CTU
43%
22%
35%
26 24 2 -1
03 Apr. 2021
CTU
Creighton
4 - 3
DePaul
DBD
75%
14%
11%
26 19 7 0
24 Mar. 2021
XMK
Xavier Musketeers
0 - 3
Creighton
CTU
14%
18%
68%
25 16 9 +1
20 Mar. 2021
CTU
Creighton
1 - 2
Marquette University
MQU
39%
22%
39%
26 30 4 -1

Matches

Georgetown
Georgetown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2021
MTH
Marshall
1 - 0
Georgetown
GTH
27%
23%
50%
45 37 8 0
06 May. 2021
PSN
Penn State
2 - 3
Georgetown
GTH
26%
22%
52%
44 35 9 +1
02 May. 2021
HPT
High Point
0 - 2
Georgetown
GTH
40%
23%
37%
43 41 2 +1
17 Apr. 2021
GTH
Georgetown
1 - 2
Seton Hall
STH
73%
16%
12%
44 33 11 -1
15 Apr. 2021
GTH
Georgetown
1 - 0
Creighton
CTU
84%
11%
6%
44 25 19 0