CRB vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CRB
57%
26%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
CRB
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 0
LON
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 0
CRB
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
BRU
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CHA
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |