CRB vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CRB
1 - 0
CEA
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
TUN
1 - 2
CRB
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
CRB
5 - 2
NAU
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
CRB
2 - 0
REM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
ANA
2 - 3
CRB
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SER
1 - 1
ARN
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SER
4 - 4
ANA
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
SER
5 - 0
NAU
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
PAY
3 - 0
SER
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |