CRB vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
COR
0 - 2
CRB
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CRB
3 - 1
ASA
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 0
CRB
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2007 |
CRB
3 - 2
COR
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 1
CRB
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
ASA
2 - 3
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
COR
4 - 1
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 2
COR
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 1
CRB
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |