CRB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
CRB
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRB
3 - 0
PAY
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 1
CRB
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
CRB
0 - 0
LUV
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIT
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |