CRB vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
SER
1 - 2
CRB
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 0
VIT
18%
24%
59%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSE
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 1
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
CRB
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
TRE
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
ATM
0 - 1
CEA
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
AVA
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRZ
19%
24%
58%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |