Cray Wanderers vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
POT
2 - 3
CRA
34%
24%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
CRA
17%
20%
64%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
LEW
2 - 0
CRA
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
5 - 4
CAR
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 0
LEA
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
KIN
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOW
0 - 1
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LEW
3 - 0
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
WIN
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
6 - 1
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |