Crawley Down Gatwick vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Down Gatwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
6 - 1
TOW
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
THR
1 - 2
CRA
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
WHI
0 - 1
CRA
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 2
FOL
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 4
TOO
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
COR
1 - 2
GUE
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUE
0 - 4
RAM
18%
22%
61%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
GUE
0 - 1
HOR
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
GUE
51%
23%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |