Crato vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 3
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 3
CRA
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 5
CEA
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 2
GUA
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 2
HOR
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 4
QUI
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
FER
4 - 0
QUI
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |