Crato vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
ICA
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 5
RFC
7%
17%
75%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
ARN
8 - 1
CRA
85%
11%
3%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
3 - 0
CRA
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
SOU
10%
22%
68%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
FLO
2 - 0
ITA
68%
19%
12%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
BAR
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
CFS
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 2
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |