Crateús vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
CRA
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 2
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRA
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 1
JCE
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 2
GUA
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 1
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 0
ICA
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |