Crack´s vs Loriguilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crack´s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 1
CRA
41%
27%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CRA
5 - 0
QUA
30%
26%
44%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SPR
2 - 2
CRA
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CRA
1 - 2
BUÑ
22%
24%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ELP
1 - 2
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Loriguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LOR
4 - 0
MAS
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 0
LOR
45%
27%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 2
ALB
46%
25%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
QUA
0 - 0
LOR
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
LLI
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |