CRAC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
GOI
0 - 0
CRA
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
ANA
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CRA
0 - 3
APA
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
IPO
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 0
CRA
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAN
31%
31%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
BRU
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
VIL
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |