CRAC MT vs Tangará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
LUV
3 - 0
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 1
OPE
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +4 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 3
URO
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
OPE
1 - 1
CRA
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
URO
3 - 0
CRA
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Tangará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
MIX
2 - 0
TAN
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
TAN
0 - 4
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TAN
2 - 2
BAR
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
5 - 0
TAN
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 0
TAN
76%
15%
8%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |